References by course part; π marks the key reading of a class.
Textbooks and general referencesΒΆ
Adda & Cooper (2023) β Dynamic Economics: Quantitative Methods and Applications, the closest thing to a textbook for this course
Sargent & Stachurski (2025) β Dynamic Programming: Finite States, the theory behind Part II, with open-source code; freely readable at dp.quantecon.org
Judd (1998) β Numerical Methods in Economics
Train (2009) β Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation
Wooldridge (2010) β Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, for the M-estimation asymptotics
Newey & McFadden (1994) β large sample estimation and hypothesis testing, Handbook of Econometrics
Part I β foundations and computational toolkitΒΆ
Keane (2010) β structural vs atheoretic approaches
Wolpin (2013) and the review by Rust (2014)
Sargent (2024) β critique and consequence
Wilf (2002) β Algorithms and Complexity
Random utility and discrete choice:
Thurstone (1959) β the measurement of values
Luce (1959) β Individual Choice Behavior
Marschak (1960) β binary choice constraints and random utility indicators
McFadden (1974) β conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior
McFadden (1981) β econometric models of probabilistic choice
Part II β single-agent dynamic programmingΒΆ
Dynamic programmingΒΆ
Rust (2016) β βDynamic programmingβ, The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics
Aguirregabiria & Mira (2010) β survey of dynamic discrete choice structural models
Ma & Stachurski (2021) β dynamic programming deconstructed
The bus engine model and NFXPΒΆ
π Rust (1987) β the bus engine replacement model (Class 9)
Rust (2000) β the NFXP manual
Berndt et al. (1974) β the BHHH algorithm
Su & Judd (2012) β MPEC, and the Iskhakov et al. (2016) βCommentβ on it
Applications of dynamic discrete choice modelsΒΆ
Rust & Phelan (1997) β social security, Medicare and retirement
Keane & Wolpin (1997) β career decisions of young men
Eckstein & Wolpin (1999) β why youths drop out of high school
Francesconi (2002) β fertility and labor supply
Arcidiacono (2004) β ability sorting and the returns to college major
Kennan & Walker (2011) β expected income and migration
Buchinsky et al. (2014) β residential location and work location
Erdem & Keane (1996) β brand choice under uncertainty and learning
Ackerberg (2003) β advertising, learning and consumer choice
Hendel & Nevo (2006) β sales and consumer inventory
Fosgerau et al. (2013) β link-based route choice in networks
Agarwal et al. (2021) β allocations under alternative waitlist designs
Lee (2025) β opioid misuse, health, labor and policy
CCP estimation and identificationΒΆ
π Hotz & Miller (1993) β the CCP inversion (Class 12)
π Arcidiacono & Miller (2011) β the representation of conditional value functions, finite dependence, unobserved heterogeneity and EM (Class 12)
AltuΔ & Miller (1998) β the origin of finite dependence, and minimum distance CCP estimation
Hotz et al. (1994) β the CCP simulation estimator
Pesendorfer & Schmidt-Dengler (2008) β asymptotic least squares estimators
Arcidiacono & Miller (2019) β nonstationary models with finite dependence
Arcidiacono & Miller (2020) β identification off short panels
Abbring & Daljord (2020) β identifying the discount factor
Kalouptsidi et al. (2021) β identification of counterfactuals
Nested pseudo-likelihoodΒΆ
π Aguirregabiria & Mira (2002) β swapping the nested fixed point, NPL (Class 14)
Pesendorfer & Schmidt-Dengler (2010) β convergence of NPL, a comment
Aguirregabiria & Marcoux (2021) β convergence of NPL in games, and the spectral algorithm
Part III β continuous choice and simulation-based estimationΒΆ
Carroll (2006) β the endogenous gridpoint method
Iskhakov et al. (2017) β DC-EGM for discrete-continuous problems
Iskhakov (2015) β the multidimensional endogenous gridpoint method, with the corrigendum Iskhakov (2017)
Druedahl & JΓΈrgensen (2017) β a general EGM
McFadden (1989) and Pakes & Pollard (1989) β method of simulated moments
Part IV β equilibrium modelsΒΆ
Gillingham et al. (2022) β βEquilibrium Trade in Automobilesβ, the running example
Part V β gamesΒΆ
Ericson & Pakes (1995) β Markov perfect industry dynamics
Aguirregabiria & Mira (2007) β dynamic discrete games, NPL
Bajari et al. (2007) β BBL
Su (2014) β estimation under multiplicity
Judd et al. (2012) β finding all pure strategy equilibria
Dearing & Blevins (2025) β EPL
Iskhakov et al. (2016) β recursive lexicographical search: finding all Markov perfect equilibria of directional dynamic games
Iskhakov et al. (n.d.) β structural estimation of directional games with multiple equilibria
Iskhakov et al. (2018) β Bertrand price competition with cost-reducing investments
- Adda, J., & Cooper, R. W. (2023). Dynamic Economics: Quantitative Methods and Applications. MIT Press. https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262547888/dynamic-economics
- Sargent, T. J., & Stachurski, J. (2025). Dynamic Programming: Finite States. Cambridge University Press. 10.1017/9781009540780
- Judd, K. L. (1998). Numerical Methods in Economics (p. 633). MIT Press. https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262100717/numerical-methods-in-economics/
- Train, K. E. (2009). Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. 10.1017/CBO9780511805271
- Wooldridge, J. M. (2010). Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data (2nd ed.). MIT Press.
- Newey, W. K., & McFadden, D. (1994). Large sample estimation and hypothesis testing. In R. F. Engle & D. L. McFadden (Eds.), Handbook of Econometrics (Vol. 4, pp. 2111β2245). Elsevier. 10.1016/S1573-4412(05)80005-4
- Keane, M. (2010). Structural vs. atheoretic approaches to econometrics. Journal of Econometrics, 156(1), 3β20. https://econpapers.repec.org/article/eeeeconom/v_3a156_3ay_3a2010_3ai_3a1_3ap_3a3-20.htm
- Wolpin, K. I. (2013). The Limits of Inference without Theory. The MIT Press. 10.7551/mitpress/9258.001.0001
- Rust, J. (2014). The Limits of Inference with Theory: A Review of Wolpin (2013). Journal of Economic Literature, 52(3), 820β850. 10.1257/jel.52.3.820
- Sargent, T. J. (2024). Critique and consequence. Journal of Monetary Economics, 141, 2β13. 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.10.001
- Wilf, H. S. (2002). Algorithms and Complexity. A K Peters/CRC Press.
- Thurstone, L. L. (1959). The measurement of values. Univer. Chicago Press.
- Luce, R. D. (1959). Individual choice behavior. John Wiley.
- Marschak, J. (1960). Binary Choice Constraints and Random Utility Indicators. In K. Arrow, S. Karlin, & P. Suppes (Eds.), Mathematical methods in the social sciences, 1959β―: proceedings (Vol. viii). Stanford, CA.β―: Stanford University Press. http://archive.org/details/mathematicalmeth0000stan
- McFadden, D. (1974). Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior. Frontiers in Econometrics.